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How health care organizations can prepare for tax changes under Trump in 2025

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Health care tax policy outlook
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November 13, 2024
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Key takeaways

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Assess how tax changes in 2025 could affect debt and equity mix in approaching transactions.
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Consider accelerating expenditures and reviewing internal capitalization policies.
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Understand how tax policy scenarios would affect tax profile and cash flow projections.
  • Tax policy
  • Federal tax
  • Health care

Health care organizations have more clarity about the direction of tax policy in 2025 now that Donald Trump has been elected president and Republicans have flipped control of the Senate while retaining control of the House of Representatives.

The unified Republican Congress will be able to pursue broad legislation that remakes the U.S. tax landscape before dozens of provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) are scheduled to expire at the end of 2025. With nonexpiring provisions also subject to change, new legislation could significantly alter health care organizations’ cash flows and tax obligations.

Ahead of any tax changes in 2025, for-profit health care organizations that are partnerships, as well as tax-exempt organizations entering joint venture arrangements, can equip themselves to make smart, timely decisions by understanding how different tax policy scenarios would affect their tax profile, cash flow projections, valuation and net income.

Below, we highlight for health care organizations several key business issues that tax changes could affect.

Debt-financed transactions

As health care deal activity and strategic partnerships continue to increase, the unfavorable limit for deducting interest expense makes consolidation more expensive, undercuts organizations’ ability to make necessary improvements, and may subject some investors to taxable income they do not expect.

The tax policy crossroads

The business interest deduction limitation under section 163(j) became less favorable in 2022, as part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. The current limitation does not expire.

There is some Republican support for a more favorable deduction limit, but it was not a top priority for either party in negotiations that produced the ill-fated Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act early in 2024. It remains to be seen whether Republican support is strong enough to result in a change. The cost of more favorable tax treatment will factor heavily in what Congress does.

Health care organizations should consider:

Cost of capital

Health care organizations are upgrading facilities, equipment and technology to enhance the quality and consistency of patient care. When it comes to acquiring fixed assets and placing them into service, more favorable deductions can make these types of improvements more affordable.

The tax policy crossroads

Companies’ ability to deduct the entire cost of qualified assets the year they were acquired and placed in service—a provision known as bonus depreciation—began to phase out in 2023, under the TCJA. Trump and congressional Republicans support restoring this notion of bonus cost recovery as a tax incentive for capital expenditures that drive infrastructure and business growth.

However, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated in May that reinstating full bonus depreciation retroactively to 2023 would cost the federal government $378 billion through 2034. That estimate would likely invoke a broader discussion around the need for revenue raisers.

Bonus depreciation

Current law

Trump/Republican agenda

Health care organizations should consider:

Income

Although many for-profit health care organizations are structured as pass-throughs, most physicians, nurses, dentists and other health care professionals who provide services are ineligible for the 20% deduction for qualified business income. For service providers who are also owners, eligibility would increase their after-tax income, which could encourage investments in patient care and support the recruitment and retention of skilled workers.

The tax policy crossroads

Health care is considered a specified service trade or business (SSTB) under section 199A, which makes most health care professionals ineligible for the 20% deduction. Neither Trump nor congressional Republicans have proposed making health care service providers eligible; however, keep an eye on any proposed changes to the list of SSTBs as policy negotiations evolve.

Deduction for qualified business income

Current law

20% deduction for qualified business income (expires Dec. 31, 2025)

Trump/Republican agenda

Extend the deduction​

Health care organizations should consider:

The tax policy road ahead for health care

Expect the path to new tax legislation in 2025 to be unpredictable, difficult to follow at times and lined with conflicting claims by lawmakers, think tanks, news media and other analysts. However, health care organizations have a guide.

Those that work closely with their tax advisor to monitor proposals can model how proposed tax changes would affect their cash flows and tax obligations. This can equip organizations to stay confidently on course and make smart, timely decisions once policy outcomes become clear.

In recent years, many tax law changes have become effective on the date a bill was introduced rather than the date it was signed into law or later. Businesses that are prepared for law changes and their effects will likely experience the greatest benefits.

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Analysis and assistance in the post-election tax landscape

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